200 sma on the hourly chart
of gbp/usd again acts as support. You can clearly see from example below that
since the 18th of August, price turned around and went up after it
had hit the indicator. This indicates that there is bullish bias in the pair
and buying pressure may resume the fourth time too. Of course, this time price
is below our key level of 1.5700 and there is no guarantee that the uptrend in
cable will continue, but if I see any signs of reversal I will surely buy
Pound.
On the other hand, the top
on the pair may have been reached and it will head to 1.5400 or even to 1.5200
area. Key fundamental data that might impact price direction is to be released
at 12:30 GMT and that will be US retail sales. A more positive than expected
number can sink British Pound. On the other hand, worse than expected data will
put pressure on US dollar and it will fall. I am slightly bullish at this
point, but that can change any time. Anyway, let’s wait for US session to see
what number we get with US retail sales.
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