Gold went up in three
waves during the month of August after a dramatic collapse in previous months.
In the same fashion it has been going down since 21st of August when
the top was made at 1170 level. The first wave formed from the 21st
to 24th of August where it found short term support at 1145. It
formed a bullish pin there.
However, price made another
wave down in the next couple of days from 25th to 26th of
August. It then went up to test previous support that became resistance. 1145
was well defended by gold bears and price after ranging till the 9th
of September proceeded to fall (third bearish wave).
It looks like price has
found its short term support at 1100 level. Bullish pin at support on Friday
indicates that price may go to its previous support of 1115-1116 level (now
resistance).
Looking at a broader
technical picture, it does not seem that the move down is over. We might expect
one more wave down that would take the price of the commodity to 1080-1070
area. This is the area where gold bottomed in the months of July and August. The
fall should stop at that area.
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